2 Comments
Sep 13Liked by Nicholas Decker

Corrective action seems like a very likely cause. That still supports your idea that suppressing small fires and living with occasional big ones is the right move since the danger seems to be the middling where people aren’t aware their air is bad.

In my current city, we had a bad air day and didn’t even notice until we tried to figure out why our anxiety was so high for so little apparent reason.

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Do we know if there is increasing marginal property damage + direct lives lost as a fire increases in size? Intuitively, it feels like large but controllable in extremis fires would cause less property damage and loss of life than the combination of mostly small fires quickly extinguished + rare completely uncontrollable fires, assuming similar total burn area. Due to authorities having no way to stop the completely uncontrolled fires from hitting high value + densely populated areas.

Would have to pencil out to see if the decreasing marginal effect of air pollution outweighs my (assumed) increasing marginal effect of property damage and direct loss of life.

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